Will Bitcoin Price Reclaim $95K Before the End of March?

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Bitcoin has recently shown signs of recovery after a prolonged downward trend since late January. On March 11, the leading cryptocurrency managed to rebound to $80,000 following a brief dip, marking a 3% increase in price. This resurgence comes amid shifting market dynamics and renewed investor interest, sparking widespread speculation: **Can Bitcoin reclaim $95,000 by the end of March?**

The answer may lie in a combination of macroeconomic factors, technical resistance levels, and exchange-specific trading behaviors. As market sentiment evolves, key price zones and liquidity clusters are emerging as critical indicators of Bitcoin’s next major move.

👉 Discover how market trends could push Bitcoin toward new highs in 2025.


Key Support and Resistance: The $84K–$85K Liquidity Zone

One of the most closely watched areas in Bitcoin’s current price action is the $84,000–$85,000 range. After BTC dipped on March 9, it rebounded and tested this resistance zone multiple times, prompting traders to open short positions aggressively within this band.

According to liquidation heatmap data, over **$300 million in short positions** are concentrated in this range. If Bitcoin breaks above $85,000, a significant short squeeze could be triggered—fueling further upward momentum.

With limited downside liquidity below $77,000, the path of least resistance appears increasingly tilted to the upside. A decisive breakout past $85,000 could not only liquidate bearish bets but also transform this resistance into strong support, potentially paving the way for a retest of higher levels.

Additionally, a CME Bitcoin futures gap remains open between $85,000 and $86,000. Historical data over the past four months shows that all six recorded gaps have eventually been filled—a pattern that strengthens the case for a bullish move toward this zone.

A successful close above $85,000 could set the stage for the next major resistance at **$90,000, where another $1.6 billion in short positions** await liquidation. Clearing this level might open the door to reclaiming the psychologically significant **$95,000** mark—an approximately 12% gain from current levels.


Market Sentiment: Analysts Divided on Short-Term Outlook

Bitcoin analysts are split on whether the current rebound signals the start of a sustained uptrend or merely a temporary relief rally.

Mark Cullen, a well-known Bitcoin analyst, highlighted a potential bullish setup, noting that price action is moving "correctly" ahead of what could be a powerful short squeeze. He suggests that further consolidation may precede a decisive breakout, emphasizing patience among traders.

“Bitcoin is structuring for a potential move higher. The setup looks favorable, but we may see more sideways action before the next leg up.”

Conversely, crypto analyst and funded trader Valeria has pointed to signs of distribution near the $85,000 zone, suggesting short-term bearish pressure. She warns that Bitcoin could dip below $80,000 before any major bullish breakout occurs, reflecting caution amid uncertain volume trends.

This divergence in expert opinion underscores the importance of monitoring on-chain activity and order flow to gauge true market conviction.


Exchange Dynamics: Coinbase vs. Binance Order Flow Divergence

An intriguing development in recent price action is the growing divergence between order book activity on Coinbase and Binance.

Data from Aggr.Trade reveals that during local lows—particularly around $76,650—**selling pressure was concentrated on Binance**, while **buying interest emerged strongly on Coinbase**. This institutional-grade buying on U.S.-based exchanges helped fuel the rebound past $80,000.

On March 12, a similar pattern emerged: Coinbase spot buyers stepped in at $81,000 during early U.S. trading hours, preventing further downside and pushing price toward $85,000 resistance.

However, despite Coinbase’s historical role in leading Bitcoin rallies—especially during macro-driven market events—the lack of synchronized momentum between the two largest exchanges may slow BTC’s ability to break key resistance levels quickly.

For Bitcoin to sustain a rally toward $90K and beyond, coordinated spot demand across major exchanges will likely be necessary. Without it, price may remain range-bound, testing patience among bulls.

👉 See how real-time order flow data can reveal the next big market move.


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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Can Bitcoin reach $95K by March 31?

While not guaranteed, a move to $95K is possible if Bitcoin clears key resistance at $85K and $90K. A short squeeze above $85K could accelerate momentum, especially with strong spot buying on U.S. exchanges.

What triggers a Bitcoin short squeeze?

A short squeeze occurs when rising prices force leveraged traders with short positions to buy back BTC to limit losses. With over $300 million in shorts near $85K, even a small breakout could trigger cascading buy orders.

Why is the CME futures gap important?

CME gaps often get filled due to institutional trading activity. The current gap between $85K–$86K acts as a magnet for price and increases the likelihood of Bitcoin revisiting this zone.

Is Coinbase buying driving the recovery?

Yes—data shows Coinbase has been a net buyer during recent dips, contrasting with selling pressure on Binance. U.S.-based exchange demand often correlates with bullish reversals.

What happens if Bitcoin fails to break $85K?

Failure to sustain above $85K could lead to consolidation or a pullback toward $77K–$80K. Traders should watch volume and order book depth for early warning signs.

How does inflation data affect Bitcoin price?

Lower-than-expected CPI readings reduce pressure on the Fed to maintain high rates, improving risk appetite. Bitcoin often reacts positively to dovish macro signals.


Final Outlook: Path to $95K Still Open

Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim $95K before month-end hinges on several factors: clearing the $84K–$85K resistance zone, triggering a short squeeze, filling the CME futures gap, and maintaining strong spot demand—particularly on U.S. exchanges like Coinbase.

While bearish warnings persist, the structural setup favors upside potential. Limited downside liquidity and growing institutional interest suggest that any sustained breakout could gain rapid traction.

👉 Stay ahead of the next Bitcoin surge with advanced trading tools and real-time analytics.

For traders and investors alike, the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether this rally is the start of a new bull phase—or just another volatile chapter in Bitcoin’s unpredictable journey. Monitoring key levels, order flow divergence, and macroeconomic signals will be essential for navigating what could be one of 2025’s most pivotal market moments.