Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC Enters Full Price-Discovery Mode After Seven Straight Weeks of Gains

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Bitcoin (BTC) has stabilized around $111,000 as of Friday, following a new all-time high of $111,900 earlier in the week. This surge marks a pivotal moment in BTC’s trajectory, as it enters uncharted price-discovery territory fueled by a confluence of macroeconomic forces, growing institutional adoption, and shifting regulatory dynamics. After seven consecutive weeks of gains since early April, the market is witnessing strong bullish momentum—with key support from corporate treasuries, state-level initiatives, and sustained investor confidence.

Corporate Adoption Signals Growing Institutional Trust

One of the most significant drivers behind Bitcoin’s latest rally is the increasing interest from major corporations and financial institutions. This week began with Japanese investment firm Metaplanet announcing the purchase of an additional 1,004 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 7,800 BTC. This strategic move underscores a broader trend: companies are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a long-term reserve asset.

In a similar vein, Indonesian fintech firm DigiAsia Corp revealed plans to establish a Bitcoin treasury reserve, potentially raising up to $100 million to acquire BTC. These developments reflect a growing global consensus that Bitcoin serves not just as a speculative asset but as a viable hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.

👉 Discover how institutional adoption is reshaping digital asset strategies in 2025.

Even more notable was the announcement from JPMorgan Chase—despite CEO Jamie Dimon’s historical skepticism—that the bank will now allow clients to buy Bitcoin. This shift by the largest U.S. bank signals a major turning point in mainstream financial acceptance.

Further bolstering confidence, Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets at Standard Chartered, projected that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by 2029. His forecast hinges on declining trust in traditional government bonds and rising institutional exposure to digital assets. The firm itself has already acquired 576,230 BTC at an average price of $69,726, achieving a year-to-date yield of 16.3% in 2025.

Additionally, Strategy (a major holder) announced plans to raise $2.1 billion through an At-The-Market (ATM) program by selling shares of its preferred stock—proceeds earmarked exclusively for further Bitcoin purchases.

Texas Moves Closer to Establishing a State Bitcoin Reserve

Regulatory sentiment in the United States continues to evolve favorably. The Texas House of Representatives advanced Senate Bill 21 (SB21), known as the Texas Bitcoin Reserve Bill, following its second reading. If signed into law, SB21 would create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, enabling the state to invest in Bitcoin and other top-tier digital assets.

Under the proposed legislation, only digital assets with a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion would qualify—currently making Bitcoin the sole eligible asset. The bill now heads to the governor’s desk, requiring passage through the House Public Health Committee by Saturday for final floor consideration before the legislative session ends in early June.

Texas would become the third U.S. state to adopt such a reserve, joining New Hampshire and Arizona. While similar proposals in Florida, Wyoming, Montana, and Pennsylvania have stalled this year, Texas’ progress signals growing political will to integrate digital assets into public finance frameworks.

This development not only enhances Bitcoin’s legitimacy but also reinforces its role as a macroeconomic hedge amid rising national debt concerns.

Institutional Demand Powers Continued Upside

Institutional inflows into Bitcoin have accelerated sharply. According to SoSoValue data, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $2.54 billion in net inflows through Thursday—the highest weekly total since April 25. This extends a six-week streak of positive flows beginning in mid-April.

Sustained institutional demand is critical for long-term price appreciation. With ETFs now serving as a primary gateway for traditional investors, continued inflows suggest strong underlying demand that could propel BTC toward its next psychological milestone: $120,000.

Regulatory Clarity on the Horizon: GENIUS Act Gains Momentum

Another key catalyst emerged this week as the GENIUS Act cleared a major procedural hurdle in the U.S. Senate. With a 66–32 vote, lawmakers advanced legislation aimed at regulating stablecoins—a crucial step toward comprehensive crypto oversight.

Deutsche Bank Research highlighted several implications:

“The government appears keen to preserve USD dominance… while curtailing any threat from private tech monopolies,” noted Deutsche Bank analysts Marion Laboure and Camilla Siazon.

Vugar Usi Zade, COO at Bitget, emphasized that the GENIUS Act brings much-needed clarity: “Clear licensing standards, reserve mandates, and consumer protections can significantly boost market confidence.”

👉 See how evolving regulations are shaping the future of digital finance.

Is an Altcoin Season Approaching?

Despite Bitcoin’s dominance, many investors are watching for signs of an impending altcoin season. According to Blockchaincenter.net’s Altcoin Season Index—which currently stands at 20—markets remain firmly in Phase 1: capital is flowing primarily into Bitcoin rather than rotating into altcoins.

Historically, altseason (Phase 4) occurs only after Bitcoin stabilizes and large-cap altcoins begin outperforming. With Ethereum and other major altcoins yet to see significant inflows, the current environment suggests further upside potential for BTC.

Moreover, selling pressure remains low. CryptoQuant data shows Bitcoin exchange inflows at just 22,000 BTC—down sharply from 121,000 BTC in November when prices first crossed $100,000. Similarly, individual deposit transactions have dropped from 98,000 to 29,000, indicating holders are reluctant to sell despite elevated prices.

This "hold-to-accumulate" behavior reinforces bullish sentiment and reduces supply-side pressure on exchanges.

Technical Outlook: Bullish Momentum Intact

On the weekly chart, Bitcoin has broken above its previous all-time high of $109,588 set in January and continues its upward trajectory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 68—approaching overbought territory but still signaling strong momentum.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) confirms bullish conditions with a positive crossover and an expanding green histogram above zero—indicative of accelerating upward momentum.

If bullish momentum holds, BTC could target $120,000** next. Any pullback would likely find strong support at **$104,563, preserving the overall uptrend.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Why is Bitcoin rising so rapidly in 2025?
A: The rally is driven by corporate treasury adoption, institutional ETF inflows, favorable regulatory developments like the GENIUS Act, and macroeconomic concerns about U.S. debt sustainability.

Q: Could Texas really invest state funds in Bitcoin?
A: Yes—Senate Bill 21 proposes creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. If signed into law, Texas would join New Hampshire and Arizona in holding BTC as part of its financial strategy.

Q: Is now a good time to switch from Bitcoin to altcoins?
A: Not yet. The Altcoin Season Index remains low at 20, suggesting most capital is still favoring BTC. Historically, altseason follows extended Bitcoin dominance phases.

Q: What prevents profit-taking from triggering a crash?
A: Low exchange inflows and declining deposit activity indicate minimal selling pressure—holders are accumulating rather than exiting positions.

Q: How high could Bitcoin go in the long term?
A: Projections vary, but Standard Chartered forecasts $500,000 by 2029 based on growing institutional adoption and declining confidence in traditional bond markets.

Q: Does regulatory progress benefit Bitcoin?
A: Absolutely. Clear rules like those in the GENIUS Act increase investor confidence and reduce uncertainty—key factors for long-term adoption.

👉 Explore real-time market insights and tools for navigating the next phase of crypto growth.

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