Will Bitcoin Price Crash Again?

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Bitcoin’s recent 6% price correction between November 13 and 15 has reignited concerns among investors about a potential deeper market crash. After surging past its previous all-time high of $73,880 and reaching an impressive peak above $91,000, Bitcoin has pulled back—prompting questions about whether this is a healthy consolidation or the beginning of a significant downturn.

Despite the short-term dip, technical indicators remain largely constructive. Bitcoin continues to exhibit a higher high and higher low pattern on the daily chart, a classic sign of sustained bullish momentum—provided it holds above the critical $85,000 support level. As long as this floor remains intact, the broader uptrend appears resilient.

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Liquidity Sweep at $85,000: A Bullish Setup?

The recent dip to around $87,000 may not signal weakness but instead represent a strategic accumulation zone. Analyst Bluntz suggests this pullback could be the final low before Bitcoin resumes its climb toward $100,000. A key factor supporting this view is the concept of a liquidity sweep near $85,500.

A liquidity sweep occurs when the price briefly drops below a key support level to trigger stop-loss orders and liquidate weak hands—particularly overleveraged traders—before reversing sharply upward. If Bitcoin dips toward $85,000 and swiftly rebounds, it could confirm this pattern and set the stage for renewed buying pressure.

On the hourly chart, Bitcoin maintains a bullish structure, staying above major moving averages including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day simple moving averages. This alignment has held since November 5, reinforcing the idea that the underlying market strength remains intact despite short-term volatility.

Overleveraged Markets: A Growing Risk

While technicals suggest resilience, structural risks are mounting—particularly in the futures market. One of the most pressing concerns is extreme leverage.

Ki-Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, highlighted on November 13 that the estimated futures leverage ratio for Bitcoin/USDT pairs has reached a record 270%. This surpasses even the previous peak seen in May 2024 and indicates that traders are taking on dangerously high levels of risk.

High leverage amplifies both gains and losses. When combined with elevated open interest—also at an all-time high—it creates a volatile environment where even a modest price move can trigger cascading liquidations.

According to CoinGlass data, a liquidation zone exists around $85,750, where more than $127 million in leveraged long positions are vulnerable. Should Bitcoin breach this level, especially with low spot market volume to absorb the sell-off, it could spark a rapid downward spiral as automated liquidations accelerate selling pressure.

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Thin Order Books and Uncharted Territory

Another factor contributing to instability is the lack of historical trading depth above $73,884. Bitcoin has spent less than 10 days trading above this level, meaning there's minimal established support or resistance in the current price range—from $74,000 to over $91,000.

This "thin" order book means fewer buy and sell orders are stacked in these zones, making price movements more erratic. Without strong spot market participation to balance aggressive futures trading, sudden swings become more likely.

In traditional markets, deep liquidity cushions large trades and prevents wild price swings. In contrast, Bitcoin’s current spot market structure lacks this buffer in its new price territory, increasing susceptibility to manipulation and flash crashes.

What’s Next for Bitcoin?

The coming days will be pivotal. If Bitcoin can stabilize above $85,000 and reclaim momentum toward $90,000, it may validate the bullish thesis and pave the way for a push to $100,000. However, failure to hold $85,000 could open the door to a deeper correction—potentially down to $80,000 or lower—especially if liquidations cascade.

Market sentiment remains cautious but not bearish. On-chain metrics show strong holder conviction, with long-term investors largely refusing to sell despite volatility. Exchange reserves continue to decline, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution.

Yet external factors—including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and institutional inflows via ETFs—will also play crucial roles in determining Bitcoin’s trajectory in late 2025.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Is Bitcoin likely to crash below $80,000?
A: While possible, a drop below $80,000 would require a failure to hold $85,000 combined with widespread liquidations. As long as key support holds and buying interest remains strong, such a move is not the base-case scenario.

Q: What is a liquidity sweep in crypto trading?
A: A liquidity sweep happens when price briefly moves below a key level to trigger stop-loss orders and liquidate leveraged positions before reversing. It often precedes strong rallies as weaker traders exit the market.

Q: Why is high leverage dangerous for Bitcoin’s price?
A: High leverage magnifies volatility. When many traders use borrowed funds to go long, even small price drops can trigger mass liquidations, leading to sharp downward spirals known as "long squeezes."

Q: Can Bitcoin reach $100,000 despite recent corrections?
A: Yes. Corrections are normal in bull markets. If Bitcoin maintains support above $85,000 and sentiment stays positive, a move toward $100,000 remains within reach—especially with growing institutional adoption.

Q: How do thin order books affect Bitcoin’s price stability?
A: Thin order books mean fewer buy and sell orders at certain price levels. This lack of depth makes prices more susceptible to sudden jumps or drops due to relatively small trades.

Q: What indicators should I watch to predict Bitcoin’s next move?
A: Monitor key levels like $85,000 and $91,000, open interest trends, funding rates, liquidation heatmaps, and on-chain accumulation patterns. These provide insight into market structure and trader behavior.


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Conclusion

Bitcoin’s recent correction does not necessarily signal an impending crash. Instead, it reflects the natural ebb and flow of a maturing asset navigating uncharted price territory. While risks like overleveraged futures positions and thin spot liquidity are real, the overall technical structure remains bullish as long as $85,000 holds.

Investors should remain vigilant but not fearful. Understanding market mechanics—like liquidity sweeps and leverage dynamics—can help separate noise from meaningful signals. With proper risk management and awareness of key support zones, traders can navigate volatility and position themselves for potential upside in the ongoing bull cycle.

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